无人机系统路线图 Unmanned Aircraft Systems Roadmap(76)

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Fourth, with such simulators, the level of flying training required by UA can be reduced, potentially resulting in reduced maintenance hours, fewer aircraft losses, and lowered attrition expenditures.  Of 301 total U.S. F-16 losses to date, 6 have been in combat and the rest (98 percent) in training accidents.  While some level of actual UA flying will be required to train manned aircraft crews in executing cooperative missions with UA, a substantial reduction in peacetime UA attrition losses can probably be achieved. 

SECTION 5 - OPERATIONS
Page 70

6.0 ROADMAP
This Section brings together the requirements and desired capabilities (Section 3) with emerging technological (Section 4) and operational opportunities (Section 5) in an effort to stimulate the planning process for UAS development over the next 25 years. It attempts, through a limited number of examples, to demonstrate a process for selecting opportunities for solving selected shortfalls in capability and incorporating these solutions in Service UAS programs (see Figures 6.1-1 and 6.2-1).  Two Roadmaps, one addressing technology-driven capabilities (Section 6.1) and the other operations-driven missions (Section 6.2), provide guidance for UAS development efforts by the Services and industry. Goals for unmanned aviation to achieve over the next 25 years are then provided (Section 6.3), and their need to work in concert with unmanned ground and sea vehicles described (Section 6.4).  The key question addressed in this chapter is: When will the capabilities required to enable the theater commanders’ requirements become available?
6.1 UAS CAPABILITIES ROADMAP
To relate the priorities expressed by the COCOMS in Section 3 to the technologies coming available within the next 25 years (Section 4), examples of capability metrics (see Table 6.1-1) were devised for this Roadmap. They identify timeframes for anticipating future capabilities to satisfy the warfighters’ requirements.  All references to years are for dates when these capabilities are expected to become available for fielding based on the technology trends developed in Section 4 and the appendices.  Some of the capabilities described have already been demonstrated in labs; others, primarily in the communications and processing areas, will be driven by commercial applications.
TABLE 6.1-1. EXAMPLE CAPABILITY METRICS.
Operational Requirement* (Section 3)  Technology Requirement (Section 4)  Example Capability Metrics  Availability Timeframe 
BA, FL  Endurance  Field a heavy fuel-powered tactical UA  2005-10 
BA  ’’  Field fully automated aerial refueling capability  2010-15 
BA  ’’  Achieve 40% increased time-on-station with same fuel load    2015-20 
FP  Signature  Field an UA inaudible from 500 to 1,000 ft slant range  2005-10 
　
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