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2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
FEB 2010
Medium Forecast
source : EUROCONTROL
( before 1997, estimation based on Euro 88 traffic variation)
TRAFFIC 9.4 M (-6.6%)
% annual growth
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
source : EUROCONTROL/STATFOR (ESRA2008)
FEB 2010 FORECAST
thousands daily flights
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
% 2009/2008 growth
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
data source : EUROCONTROL/STATFOR (ESRA2008)
Figure 5: Traffic levels and variations
2.2.2 As can be seen in Figure 5, traffic levels in 2009 were very close to 2006 levels. This has
two implications for this report:
Three to four years of traffic growth were cancelled-out at once, which has a positive
impact for delays (-36% of total ATFM3 delays compared to 2008).
Year 2006 constitutes an interesting reference to analyse ANS performance in 2009
as the monthly traffic was quite similar to 2006 until August and then followed more
the 2005 trend.
2.2.3 Key traffic data and indices are given in Figure 6. The methodological framework
showing the different indicators and their relationships can be found in Annex II. More
detailed traffic data can be found in Annex III.
1 Minus 6.4% taking into account the leap year.
2 ESRA 2008 area (see Glossary).
3 En-route and airport ATFM delays.
2
PRR 2009 Chapter 2: Traffic
6
Year 2009 Actual Variation
2009/2008
Index
100 in 2003
IFR flights in Europe4 9.4 M -6.6% 112
IFR flight-hours in Europe4 13.5 M -6.1% 118
Distance charged in RCS5 (Km) 8 296 -6.3% 120
Data source: EUROCONTROL/STATFOR/CRCO/CFMU
Figure 6: Key traffic data and indices in Europe
2.2.4 As can be seen in Figure 7, there was a major drop of traffic in 2009. In Europe, MTOW
continued to grow slowly as well as the average flight length (see Figure 64 on page 52).
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Flights
Distance Charged
Passengers
MTOW
Flight
hours
index 100 in 2003
data source : passengers: ACI - flights, flight hours : STATFOR (ESRA2008) , distance charged, MTOW: CRCO
Figure 7: Key Traffic indicators and indices
2.2.5 Air freight has been more heavily affected than passenger traffic in Europe. The end of
the year showed recovery for freight and some recovery for passenger traffic, even if it
started from a deeply negative base at the end of 2008. Freight recovery is generally seen
as an advance indicator of economic recovery.
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
May
08
Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
09
Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
% Change
Total freight in metric tonnes (Europe)
Total n° of passengers (Europe)
data source: ACI
Figure 8: Monthly comparison (passengers, freight)
4 ESRA 2008 area (see Glossary).
5 States in “EUROCONTROL Route Charges System” in 2009 excluding Santa Maria (see Glossary).
2
PRR 2009 Chapter 2: Traffic
7
2.2.6 In the first half of 2009, load factors decreased but, by cutting capacity, airlines managed
to restore high load factors during the second half of 2009, close to the record breaking
load factors of 2007.
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Passenger Load Factor
data source: AEA (Total Scheduled)
Figure 9: Passenger load factors
2.3 Traffic Growth
2.3.1 Traffic growth was again quite contrasted across States in 2009, ranging from -13% to
9%, as can be seen in Figure 10. The vast majority of the States experienced large
decline. Among the busiest States, UK and Spain recorded around 10% decrease while
Turkey saw a moderate increase of +4%.
4%
-7%
-7%
-10%
-11%
-8%
-7%
-4%
-8%
-5%
-2%
-9%
0%
3%
-8% -2%
-5%
3%
-12%
-1%
-7%
-8%
0%
-12%
-2%
7%
-7%
9%
-12%
-9%
0%
-8%
-7%
-8%
-4%
3%
-2%
1%
Annual growth in IFR Movements 2009
Below 0%
0% to 3%
3.% to 6%
6% to 9%
9% to 12%
Above 12%
-13%
Canarias
-3%
Azores data source : EUROCONTROL/STATFOR
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本文链接地址：
Performance Review Report 2009(17)
