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Control Strategies," Berkeley, CA: University of California,
Institute of Transportation Studies, (UCB-ITS-WP-86-12) 38p. $10.00.
DK. Hollister, K. (1992), "Blunder Risk Model, Version 1.0," Lexington,
MA: Massachusetts Institute of Technology Lincoln Laboratory, ATC
Project Memo: 42PM-PRM-0011.
DL. Hollnagel, E., Human Reliability Analysis Context and Control,
Academic Press, London, 1993.
DM. Holt, J.M., "Safe Separation in Controlled Flight," Navigation,
vol. 21, no.1, 1974.
1. Consequences of the point of view that separations must be
adequate for ATC to provide protection against blunders or
failures aboard the aircraft.
DN. Hopkins, V.D., "Human Factors Problems in Conflict Detection and
Avoidance," AGARD CP-105 Air Traffic Control Systems, Paper
presented at the Guidance and Control panel of AGARD, Edinburgh,
Scotland, 1972, Paper 25-1 to 25-6
1. Conflict detection and avoidance poses different problems,
depending on large differences in information, procedures, and
facilities. The controller’s responses depends on the confidence
he/she has in the data presented.
DO. Horton, W.F., Jr, "Conflict Prediction Theory for Automated IFR
Traffic Control," Mitre Corp., Mitre Working Paper WP-10911, 1975
1. Conflict prediction algorithm based upon flight plan data and a
description of the airspace region in which the conflicts may
APPENDIX B
BIBLIOGRAPHY
B-19
occur., as part of a computer program to generate conflict-free
clearances for all IFR aircraft.
DP. Hsu, D.E., "Analysis of Aircraft Collision Risk on Intersecting Track
Systems with Application to Air Traffic Control," Princeton Univ.,
July 1977
1. Topic: Collision risk models
DQ. Hsu, D.A., "The Evaluation of Aircraft Collision Probabilities at
Intersecting Air Routes," Journal of Navigation, Vol. 34, No. 1,
January 1981
1. Topic: Collision risk models
DR. ICAO (International Civil Aviation Organization), "Manual on Required
Navigation Performance (RNP)," 1994, Doc. 9613-AN/937, Montreal,
Quebec, Canada.
DS. ICAO (International Civil Aviation Organization), "Air Traffic
Services Planning Manual," 1984, Doc 9426-AN/924. Amendments dated
15 Aug 85, 11 Sep 85, 3 Nov 88, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
DT. ICAO (International Civil Aviation Organization), "Methodology for
the Derivation of Separation Minima Applied to the Spacing Between
Parallel Tracks in ATS Route Structures, 2nd Edition," Montreal: ICAO
circular; 120-AN/89/2, 1976 (267 pp +).
DU. ICAO (International Civil Aviation Organization), "Report of the
Sixth Meeting of the Review of the General Concept of Separation
Panel," November-December, 1988, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
DV. ICAO, "Manual on Airspace Planning Methodology for the Determination
of Separation Minima, Version 3.0," RGCSP/9-WP/25, 26 Feb. 1996.
DW. ICAO, "Manual on Airspace Planning Methodology for the Determination
of Separation Minima," RGCSP 9, May 1996, ICAO Doc XXXX - To be
published.
1. Topic:General Risk Estimation Methodologies
DX. ICAO, "Manual on Implementation of 300m (1000ft) Vertical Separation
Minimum Between FL290 and FL410 Inclusive," ICAO Doc 9574-AN/934,
First Edition, 1992.
SEPARATION SAFETY MODELING
B-20
1. Topic: Mathematical models for collision risk
DY. ICAO, "Manual on the Use of the Collision Risk Model (CRM) for ILS
Operations," ICAO document # DOC 9274-AN/904. [ICAO, (Attention
Distribution Officer) P. O. Box 400, Place de l'Aviation
Internationale 1000 Sherbrooke Street West, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
H3A 2R2
DZ. ITS Publications, ITS Publications: Title Index.
http://www.its.berkeley.edu/pubs/titles.html
1. This is a University of California at Berkeley site that records
the titles of some of their transportation program reports. Some
of the FAA old-timers may remember a formal agreement the FAA had
with this program (FAA sent candidates and money, UC sent back
advanced-degree graduates).
EA. James, M.K. "The Timing of Collision Avoidance Manoevres:
Descriptive Mathematical Models," The Journal of Navigation, v. 47,
no. 2, 5/1/94.
EB. Jeng, Chawn-Yaw, "Routing Strategies for an Idealized Airline
Network," Berkeley, CA: University of California, Institute of
Transportation Studies, (UCB-ITS-DS-87-3) p. $50.00.
EC. Johnson, D.B., "Impact of New Separation Standards," Proceedings of
the Eighteenth Annual Meeting, Air Traffic Control Association,
1973.
1. Significance of new separation standards from the pilot’s point of
 
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