ANNUAL SAFETY REVIEW 2005
European Aviation Safety Agency
Agence Européenne de la Sécurité Aérienne
Europäische Agentur für Flugsicherheit
002
ANNUAL SAFETY REVIEW
003
INDEX
ANNUAL
SAFETY REVIEW
2005
INDEX
004 Introduction
004 1.0 Historical development of Aviation Safety
006 2.0 World Safety 1996 –2005
009 3.0 European Safety 1996 –2005
010 Imprint
ANNUAL SAFETY REVIEW 2005
004
INTRODUCTION
INTRODUCTION
The safety review for the year 2005 is the first Annual Safety Review
compiled by the European Aviation Safety Agency to inform the public of
the general safety level in the field of civil aviation as required by Article
11 (4) of Regulation(EC) No 1592/2002 of the European Parliament and of
the Council of 15 July 2002.
The scope of future reviews will be adapted to safety issues and enhanced
as data sources become available. In preparation of this review, the Agency
had access to accident information collected by the International
Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO) through its Accident/Incident Data
Reporting (ADREP) system as well as accident statistics published by ICAO.
1.0 HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT OF AVIATION SAFETY
Since 1945, ICAO has been publishing accident rates for accidents involving
passenger fatalities (excluding acts of unlawful interference with civil
aviation) for scheduled operations. The graphs below are based on these
ICAO accident rates.
GRAPH 1:
PASSENGER FATALITIES PER 100 MILLION PASSENGER MILES, SCHEDULED OPERATIONS,
EXCLUDING ACTS OF UNLAWFUL INTERFERENCE
0
1
2
3
4
5
1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
1968: 0.5 After 1997: ›0.5
Passenger fatality rate 5 per. Mov. Avg.
ANNUAL SAFETY REVIEW 2005
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HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT
The data show that the safety of aviation has improved from 1945 onwards.
Based on the measure of passenger fatalities per 100 million miles flown, it
took some 20 years (1948 to 1968) to achieve the first ten-fold improvement
from 5 to 0.5. Another ten-fold improvement was reached in 1997, some 30
years later, when the rate had dropped below 0.05.
The accident rate on this graph appears to be flat for recent years. This is
the result of the scale used to reflect the high rates in the late 1940s. A
review limited to a more recent time frame highlights the improvements
achieved from 1993 onwards.
The rate of accidents involving passenger fatalities in scheduled operations
per 100.000 flights varied from 0.15 (1986) to 0.21 (1993) and showed
no improvement from 1986 to 1993. From that year, the rate dropped
continuously until 2003, where it reached its lowest value of 0.03. Since
then, resulting from the increase in the number of accidents, it rose again
to 0.07 in 2005, back to a level already reached in 2002. Taking the values
at the extremes, the rate of accidents involving passenger fatalities
in scheduled operations has dropped by about half from 1986 to 2005.
GRAPH 2:
RATE OF ACCIDENTS INVOLVING PASSENGER FATALITIES PER 100 000 FLIGHTS,
SCHEDULED OPERATIONS, EXCLUDING ACTS OF UNLAWFUL INTERFERENCE
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
1990 1995 2000 2005
fatal accident rate 5 per. MOV. Avg (fatal accident rate)
ANNUAL SAFETY REVIEW 2005
006
WORLD SAFETY
2.0 WORLD SAFETY 1996 –2005
2.1
The number of accidents provided in this part of the report is based on data
obtained from the ICAO Accident/Incident Data reporting (ADREP) system.
They concern fatal accidents to fixed wing aircraft with a maximum
certificated take-off mass exceeding 2250 kg. A fatal accident is an accident
that resulted in at least one fatality, flight crew and/or passenger or on the
ground, within 30 days of the accident. Note that in the graphs the number
of fatal accidents to aircraft registered in States of the European Union
plus Iceland, Norway and Switzerland (EU25+3) is at the bottom of the bars.
2.2
In the decade 1996–2005, the average number of fatal accidents to fixed
wing aircraft in public transport operations was 64.7. The number of fatal
accidents in 2005 (59) is lower than that of the previous year 2004 (63).
This number is, however, higher than the number for 2003, (47) which
was the lowest in the decade 1996 to 2005.
GRAPH 3:
FATAL ACCIDENTS, PUBLIC TRANSPORT OPERATIONS,
FIXED WING AIRCRAFT OVER 2250 KG MAX CERTIFICATED TAKE-OFF MASS
0
20
40
60
80
100
1996
aircraft registered in the EU25+3 aircraft not registered in the EU25+3
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